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Developments
Stock Challenge Update
[March/April 2003]

by Matthew Bechard

Let the games begin. Seven industry experts will participate in the initial Real Estate Portfolio Stock Challenge.

As we detailed in the last issue of Portfolio, analysts predicted the 2003 year-end value of the NAREIT Equity REIT Index and the Morgan Stanley REIT Index. In addition, each entrant will maintain a portfolio containing the five individual real estate stocks anticipated to post the highest returns—the portfolios can be altered throughout the year. Somewhat surprisingly, only five companies were selected by more than one participant, with Chelsea Property Group (NYSE: CPG) the only company selected three times.

It’s still very early in the game, but Jeff Donnelly of Wachovia Securities has jumped out to the early advantage posting a 0.29 percent total return in January. Six of the seven participants outperformed the NAREIT Equity Index return of –2.91 percent in January. See the chart for a complete listing of the participants, their portfolios and performance as of January 31.

To see updates of how the contest is progressing, log on to www.nareit.com/portfoliomag/challenge.shtml. The Stock Challenge is for entertainment purposes only and readers should keep in mind that the selections made are not recommendations to purchase any specific stock.

Real Estate Portfolio Stock Challenge
Results through Jan. 31, 2003
Name
Company
Y-T-D Return
Portfolio
Jeff Donnelly
Wachovia Securities
0.29%
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Innkeepers USA Trust (KPA)
LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO)
Senior Housing Properties Trust (SNH)
Barry Vinocur
Realty Stock Review
-0.46%
Ventas (VTR)
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
CenterPoint Properties Trust (CNT)
Catellus Development Corp. (CDX)
The Rouse Company (RSE)
Anatole Pevnev
McDonald Investments
-2.34%
Boston Properties (BXP)
Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE)
Highwoods Properties (HIW)
Corporate Office Properties (OFC)
SL Green Realty Corp. (SLG)
Larry Raiman
Credit Suisse First Boston
-2.40%
Mack-Cali Realty Corp. (CLI)
Corporate Office Properties (OFC)
General Growth Properties (GGP)
Capital Automotive REIT (CARS)
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (SKT)
David Fick
Legg Mason Wood Walker
-2.41%
Post Properties (PPS)
MeriStar Hospitality Corp. (MHX)
FelCor Lodging Trust (FCH)
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Mission West Properties (MSW)
Lee Schalop
Banc of America Securities
-2.46%
Simon Property Group (SPG)
General Growth Properties (GGP)
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
Boston Properties (BXP)
CarrAmerica Realty Corporation (CRE)
Jay Leupp
RBC Capital Management
-3.16%

Public Storage (PSA)
AIMCO (AIV)
New Plan Excel Realty Trust (NXL)
Glenborough Realty Trust (GLB)
PS Business Parks (PSB)


Real Estate Portfolio® is the magazine for REITs and real estate investment.

It is published bimonthly by the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts® (NAREIT),
1875 I Street, NW, Suite 600, Washington, DC 20006–5413.
Phone 202-739-9400.