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By the Numbers
2005 Fast Forecasts
[January/February 2005]

There are a wide range of opinions on what 2005 will hold in the way of total returns for the publicly traded real estate industry. Forecasts from industry professionals ranged from 16.7 percent growth to a decline of 10 percent. The highest prediction came from Stephanie Krewson at BB&T Capital Markets, who anticipates a 16.7 percent return. On the low end was Jay Leupp at RBC Capital Management, forecasting anywhere from no growth to a 10 percent decline. As for specific sectors, the majority of those polled by Portfolio said the mall and office sectors are the most likely to outperform in 2005.

Looking Ahead
Name Company Total Returns
Range
Top Projected
Sectors(s)
Stephanie Krewson BB&T Capital Markets 16.7% Apartment, Hotel
Ross Smotrich Bear, Stearns & Co. 12% to 14% Retail, Commercial Mortgage/Specialty Finance
Martin Cohen Cohen & Steers
Capital Management
12% Apartment, Office
David Fick Legg Mason 10% Office
Steve Sakwa Merrill Lynch 5% to 10% Mall, Industrial
Ralph Block Essential REIT Publishing 9% Hotel
Greg Whyte Morgan Stanley 0% to 5% Mall, Industrial
Louis Taylor Deutsche Bank -5% to 5% Regional Mall, Industrial
Jay Leupp RBC Capital Management -10% to 0% Mall, Office


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